Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 64.632259 73.010029 81.636639 91.152820 101.325961 111.847253 123.522652
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 51.553280 63.460070 76.334938 91.165912 107.657761 125.321676 145.560237
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 43.793188 57.582548 73.047197 91.418051 112.401173 135.396746 162.283013
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 38.239489 53.358003 70.866777 92.215106 117.140910 144.961298 178.005674
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 32.848806 48.660186 67.559677 91.181685 119.327729 151.264605 189.731062
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 29.574988 46.177317 66.570592 92.592289 124.114128 160.354897 204.485113
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 26.981642 44.273598 66.057200 94.375685 129.183076 169.659883 219.411142
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 23.588413 40.983933 63.531824 93.449448 130.802372 174.765582 229.331490
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 20.112617 37.241991 60.144995 91.196921 130.597197 177.539991 236.375370
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 19.124671 36.913067 61.174022 94.512323 137.233327 188.508719 253.149368
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 17.903045 36.122044 61.494598 96.846886 142.605215 197.934036 268.090448
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 15.714806 33.674191 59.390467 95.872782 143.702788 202.079464 276.639698
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 13.638941 31.223176 57.164965 94.664929 144.477939 205.850826 284.808257
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 12.172979 29.607233 56.024207 94.840831 146.984216 211.741779 295.560428
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 10.876325 28.133971 54.987418 95.075913 149.506555 217.613805 306.269195
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.853591 27.025774 54.414917 95.895854 152.757857 224.381200 318.078592
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.500943 25.158815 52.573181 94.836591 153.447524 227.864862 325.796550
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.820674 24.478225 52.515994 96.281856 157.464416 235.571192 338.772470
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 7.275039 23.999658 52.739713 98.108690 161.987035 243.929414 352.582757
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.255453 22.423031 51.107237 97.159929 162.691821 247.353357 360.194631
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.121469 20.411176 48.627270 94.852261 161.452065 248.203147 364.519520
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.005091 20.671509 49.958329 98.248645 168.098036 259.316614 381.850097
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.741058 20.553023 50.626714 100.639580 173.354069 268.633958 396.932123